Project properties

Title The occurrence of compound and cascading dry hazards in Europe, namely heatwaves, drought, and fires
Group Hydrology and Quantitative Water Management Group
Project type thesis
Credits 36
Supervisor(s) Samuel Sutanto and Ryan Teuling
Examiner(s) Remko Uilenhoft
Contact info samuel.sutanto@wur.nl
Begin date 2020/01/01
End date
Description Compound and cascading natural hazards usually cause more severe impacts than any of the single hazard events alone. For example, droughts in Europe that occurred in 2003 and 2015 were not the most severe in the last century. However, in combination with extended heatwaves and fires, it is considered as the most fatal and costly. The aim of this study, therefore, is to analyze the occurrence of compound and cascading dry hazards, namely heatwaves, drought, and fires in Europe, and its impacts. Dry hazard occurrences are analyzed using the ERA5 re-analysis dataset for soil moisture drought and heatwaves, with a spatial resolution of 30 km and daily temporal resolution from 1979 to 2018. The fire information is obtained from the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS) that combines the government reports on fires and satellite observations since 2000 up to present. The impacts data are obtained from the EM-DAT and the EDII database. Statistical analyses such as percentile, trend, and anomaly will be carried out to rank the hazards as a single or compound, based on the number of events and impacts.
Used skills
Requirements Programming skill